Summary
The 2022 United States Senate election in Nevada will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada.
Incumbent Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto was first elected in 2016 with 47.1% of the vote, holding a seat left open by former Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid. She has stated she will run for a second term. Former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt is the Republican challenger.
Source: Wikipedia
OnAir Post: 2022 NV Senate Race
News
With just weeks left before Election Day, Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto will report raising more than $15 million between the beginning of July and the end of September leaving roughly $5 million cash on hand, her campaign announced Monday — another record in a record-breaking fundraising election cycle for Cortez Masto, and roughly double the $7.5 million she raised in the second quarter of 2022.
In a statement, her campaign touted individual donations from more than 170,000 contributors in the third quarter, with an average donation amount of $44. Her campaign did not immediately release quarterly spending figures, numbers that will likely remain unavailable until a federal filing deadline on Oct. 15.
It comes as Nevada’s U.S. Senate contest between Cortez Masto and her Republican opponent, former Attorney General Adam Laxalt, has become one of just a handful nationwide that could decide control of a U.S. Senate split 50-50 between the two major parties.
Timeshare company with close Laxalt ties generated dozens of customer complaints to then-AG’s office
The Nevada Independent, – September 22, 2022
The Nevada Independent, – September 22, 2022
Starpoint Resort Group — a Nevada-based timeshare company that has for years maintained financial ties to the campaigns of Republican Senate candidate and former Attorney General Adam Laxalt — generated dozens of customer complaints sent to the attorney general’s office during Laxalt’s tenure, according to documents reviewed by The Nevada Independent.
Those documents, including hundreds of pages of redacted complaint filings and emails, show at least 56 customer complaints against Starpoint filed with the attorney general’s office between 2015 and 2019, with another 35 filed to the state’s Department of Business and Industry.
Several of the complaints allege that the company — through its subsidiary timeshare companies — misled or deceived customers and violated the state’s deceptive trade practices law. However, the documents do not show that Starpoint was ever implicated in any criminal wrongdoing, nor do they show that the company ever faced any penalties from the state government.
In a midterm campaign season dominated by inflation, abortion and crime, there’s another issue that is becoming more urgent in Western states: drought.
The topic of water historically has played little to no role in campaign ads in much of the region, but funding to fight drought is coming up now in door-knocking campaigns and is on the long list of talking points that advocacy groups are using to rally voters in two states with vulnerable Democratic incumbents and looming water cuts: Nevada and Arizona.
“This issue appeals to the economic anxiety of our voters and our people,” said Angel Lazcano, a Las Vegas-based organizer for Somos Votantes, which seeks to mobilize Latino voters across swing states.
In Nevada, a Democratic senator tries to fend off GOP momentum on the economy
The Washington Post, – July 25, 2022
The Washington Post, – July 25, 2022
RENO, Nevada — Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto framed herself as a bulwark against a national abortion ban, gathering sympathetic Republican women in a friend’s backyard here to warn that her opponent could cast the decisive vote.
“There is no doubt in my mind that the Republicans in the Senate right now — that some of them are writing a draft legislation to further restrict abortion in this country,” Cortez Masto said at the campaign event this month. About a dozen health-care workers and allies from the GOP stood behind her, some holding signs that read “BANS OFF OUR BODIES.” She added, “Nevada is the seat that’s going to stop that.”
It’s a potent message, some argue, in a swing state that guaranteed abortion access by overwhelming popular vote more than 30 years ago.
GOP strategists say they are not worried, however. Speaking the next day in Las Vegas, Republican Senate nominee Adam Laxalt sent the same message Republicans have been hammering nationally: Gas prices are soaring, he said, and the party in power is responsible.
“We need someone that will actually stand up for Nevada when the Biden administration takes us away from energy independence, gives us all-time high gas, all these things we’re dealing with every single day,” said Laxalt, a former state attorney general who lost a bid for governor four years ago.
About
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[87] | Tossup | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[88] | Tossup | February 24, 2022 |
| Sabato’s Crystal Ball[89] | Tossup | March 1, 2022 |
| Politico[90] | Tossup | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[91] | Tossup | January 26, 2022 |
| Fox News[92] | Tossup | May 12, 2022 |
| 538[93] | Tossup | June 30, 2022 |
Web Links
Catherine C. Masto
Current Position: US Senator since 2017
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 US Senator
Former Position(s): Nevada attorney general from 2006 – 2014
Quotes:
Wildfires are devastating the West, and today I joined @ClimatePower and @ChiefDave_RFD
to call for action on climate. I’m leading legislation in Congress to combat wildfires back home, but it’s going to take all of us to address the climate crisis and protect our planet.
For more information, go to this post.
Adam Laxalt
Current Position: Attorney General since 2015
Affiliation: Republican
Candidate: 2022 US Senator
Adam Paul Laxalt (born August 31, 1978)[1] is an American attorney and politician. A Republican, he served as the 33rd Nevada attorney general from 2015 to 2019.
Laxalt is the son of former U.S. Senator Pete Domenici of New Mexico and grandson of former Nevada governor and U.S. senator Paul Laxalt. He graduated from Georgetown University and its law school before working as an aide to then-Under Secretary of State for Arms Control and International Security Affairs John R. Bolton and Virginia U.S. Senator John Warner. He worked as a lawyer in private practice and was a member of the Navy Judge Advocate General’s Corps from 2005 to 2010.
Laxalt was elected Attorney General of Nevada, holding the position for one term, from January 2015 to January 2019. In this role, he challenged federal environmental protection regulations, opposed some gun regulations, filed legal briefs in support of laws restricting abortion, and opposed a multi-state investigation into ExxonMobil’s role in climate change. He unsuccessfully ran for governor of Nevada in 2018, losing to Democrat Steve Sisolak. Laxalt was co-chairman of Donald Trump’s 2020 unsuccessful re-election campaign in Nevada. After Trump lost the 2020 election and refused to concede, Trump and Laxalt made false claims of large-scale fraud in Nevada’s election and sought to overturn the election results. He is the Republican nominee for the 2022 United States Senate election in Nevada.
For more information, go to this post.
Wikipedia
| Elections in Nevada |
|---|
 |
 Nevada portal |
The 2022 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada. Incumbent Democratic senator Catherine Cortez Masto won re-election to a second term, narrowly defeating Republican challenger Adam Laxalt.[1] Nevada's election results were slowed due to state law that allowed voters to submit mail-in ballots until November 12, and allowed voters to fix clerical problems in their mail-in ballots until November 14, 2022.[2] No Republican has won this specific U.S. Senate seat since Adam Laxalt's grandfather Paul Laxalt won a second full term in 1980.
According to exit polls, Cortez Masto won 62% of Latinos, 64% of young voters, and 52% of women.[3]
Cortez Masto made protecting abortion rights a central issue of her campaign.[4] Many experts and forecasters saw Nevada as Republicans' best chance to pickup a seat in the Senate. Despite Laxalt leading in most polls, Cortez Masto narrowly won re-election by a little less than 8,000 votes.
Cortez Masto flipped Washoe County, improving her 2016 voteshare by 1.7%, although Laxalt improved on Joe Heck's margin in rural counties, and performed slightly better in Clark County. The incumbent Democrat's improvements in Washoe compared to 2016 proved to be decisive, as her victory margin there was slightly larger than in Nevada as a whole. With a margin of 0.77%, this was the closest Senate race of the 2022 election cycle and the closest Senate election in Nevada since 1998.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Catherine Cortez Masto, incumbent U.S. Senator (2017–present) and former attorney general of Nevada (2007–2015)[5]
Eliminated in primary
- Stephanie Kasheta[6]
- Corey Reid[6]
- Allen Rheinhart, Black Lives Matter activist and candidate for governor in 2014, U.S. Senate in 2016, and Nevada's 1st congressional district in 2020[7]
Endorsements
Catherine Cortez Masto
- Organizations
- AAPI Victory Fund[8]
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[9]
- EMILY's List[10]
- End Citizens United[11]
- Feminist Majority PAC[12]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[13]
- Jewish Dems[14]
- Latino Victory[15]
- League of Conservation Voters[16]
- Let America Vote[11]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[17]
- National Wildlife Federation[18]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[19]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[20]
- Population Connection Action Fund[21]
- Pro-Israel America[22]
- Sierra Club[23]
- Women's Political Committee[24]
- Newspapers
- Labor unions
Results
Cortez Masto
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- 90–100%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Catherine Cortez Masto (incumbent) | 159,694 | 90.87% | |
| Democratic | Corey Reid | 4,491 | 2.56% | |
| None of These Candidates | 4,216 | 2.40% | ||
| Democratic | Allen Rheinhart | 3,852 | 2.19% | |
| Democratic | Stephanie Kasheta | 3,487 | 1.98% | |
| Total votes | 175,740 | 100.0% | ||
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Adam Laxalt, former attorney general of Nevada (2015–2019), nominee for governor in 2018, and son of former U.S. Senator Pete Domenici and grandson of former U.S. Senator Paul Laxalt[32]
Eliminated in primary
- Sam Brown, U.S. Army veteran, Purple Heart recipient, candidate for of the Texas's 102nd House of Representatives district in 2014, and great-grandson of Paul Brown[33][34]
- William "Bill" Conrad, retired combat veteran [6]
- Bill Hockstedler, vice president of Ambient Clinical Analytics, sheriff's office volunteer, and U.S. Air Force veteran[35]
- Sharelle Mendenhall, pageant queen[33][34]
- Tyler Perkins[6]
- Carlo Poliak, retired sanitation worker and perennial candidate[6]
- Paul Rodriguez[6]
Declined
- Mark Amodei, U.S. Representative for Nevada's 2nd congressional district (2011–present) (ran for re-election)[36]
- Heidi Gansert, state senator for the 15th district (2016–present)[37]
- Dean Heller, former U.S. Senator (2011–2019) and former U.S. Representative for Nevada's 2nd congressional district (2007–2011) (ran for governor)[38]
- Ben Kieckhefer, state senator for the 16th district (2010–2021)[37]
- Brian Sandoval, president of the University of Nevada, Reno (2020–present) and former governor of Nevada (2011–2019)[37]
Debates
| 2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Nevada debates[i] | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | Date | Organizer | Location | Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | Source | ||||||
| Sam Brown | Bill Conrad | Bill Hockstedler | Adam Laxalt | Sharellen Mendenhall | |||||||
| 1 | April 7, 2022 | Redmove Nevada | Atlantis Casino Resort Spa, Reno | A | P | P | A | P | [39][40] | ||
| 2 | May 9, 2022 | Nevada Newsmakers | Nevada Newsmakers Studio, Reno | P | N | N | P | N | [41][42] | ||
- ^ Minor candidates that didn't participate in any of the debates are omitted.
Endorsements
Sam Brown (eliminated in primary)
- Organizations
Adam Laxalt
- Executive Branch officials
- Michael Flynn, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2017) and former Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency (2012–2014) (Democratic)[44]
- Mike Pompeo, 70th U.S. Secretary of State (2018–2021)[45]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[46]
- U.S. Senators
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present)[47]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present)[48]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present)[37]
- Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present)[49][better source needed]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (1985–present) and Senate Minority Leader (2021–present)[50]
- Rick Scott, U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present) and former governor of Florida (2011–2019)[51]
- Statewide officials
- Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present)[52]
- Individuals
- Mark Levin, lawyer and author[53][better source needed]
- Matt Schlapp, chairman of the American Conservative Union[53][better source needed]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and political activist[53][better source needed]
- Organizations
- 60 Plus Association[53][better source needed]
- American Conservative Union[53][better source needed]
- Club for Growth[54]
- FreedomWorks for America[55]
- Gun Owners of America[53][better source needed]
- Political Victory Fund[56][57][58]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[59]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[60]
- Labor unions
- Las Vegas Peace Officers Association[61]
- National Association of Police Organizations[62]
- Nevada Fraternal Order of Police[61]
- Public Safety Alliance of Nevada[61]
Polling
- Graphical summary
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Sam Brown | Bill Hockstedler | Adam Laxalt | Sharelle Mendenhall | Other [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | April 25 – June 7, 2022 | June 10, 2022 | 30.3% | 1.0% | 51.3% | 3.0% | 24.4% | Laxalt +21.0 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Sam Brown | Bill Hockstedler | Adam Laxalt | Sharelle Mendenhall | None of These Candidates | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | June 6–7, 2022 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 1% | 48% | 3% | 2% | 3%[c] | 9% |
| University of Nevada Reno | May 17–27, 2022 | 368 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 31% | 5% | 57% | 7% | – | – | – |
| OH Predictive Insights | May 10–12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 30% | 0% | 45% | 3% | 8% | 2%[d] | 11% |
| Emerson College | April 30 – May 2, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 27% | 1% | 50% | 4% | – | 3%[e] | 15% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | April 25–28, 2022 | 1,071 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 1% | 50% | 3% | – | 5% | 15% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[A] | April 24–26, 2022 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 20% | 1% | 57% | 1% | 9% | – | 12% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[B] | March 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 19% | 1% | 57% | 1% | – | 3% | 15% |
| OH Predictive Insights | January 19–26, 2022 | 230 (RV) | ± 6.5% | 14% | – | 37% | – | – | – | 49% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Dean Heller | Adam Laxalt | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence (R)[B] | December 9–11, 2020 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 25% | 44% | 6% | 25% |
Results
Laxalt
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
Brown
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Adam Laxalt | 127,757 | 55.91% | |
| Republican | Sam Brown | 78,206 | 34.23% | |
| Republican | Sharelle Mendenhall | 6,946 | 3.04% | |
| None of These Candidates | 6,277 | 2.75% | ||
| Republican | William "Bill" Conrad | 3,440 | 1.51% | |
| Republican | William "Bill" Hockstedler | 2,836 | 1.24% | |
| Republican | Paul Rodriguez | 1,844 | 0.81% | |
| Republican | Tyler Perkins | 850 | 0.37% | |
| Republican | Carlo Poliak | 332 | 0.15% | |
| Total votes | 228,488 | 100.0% | ||
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Neil Scott, accountant[6]
Independent American primary
Candidates
Declared
- Barry Rubinson, nominee for Nevada's 4th congressional district in 2020[6]
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Barry Lindemann, asset manager[63]
Not on ballot
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[65] | Tossup | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[66] | Tossup | February 24, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Lean D | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[68] | Tossup | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[69] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
| Fox News[70] | Tossup | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[71] | Tossup | August 22, 2022 |
| 538[72] | Tossup | September 22, 2022 |
| The Economist[73] | Lean R (flip) | November 6, 2022 |
Endorsements
Catherine Cortez Masto (D)
- U.S. Presidents
- Bill Clinton, 42nd president of the United States (1993–2001)[74]
- Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States (2009–2017)[75]
- Executive Branch officials
- Pete Buttigieg, United States Secretary of Transportation (2021–present)[76]
- U.S. Senators
- Tammy Baldwin, U.S. Senator from Wisconsin (2013–present)[77]
- Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013–present)[77]
- Bob Casey Jr., U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania (2007–present)[77]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2007–present)[78]
- Chris Murphy, U.S. Senator for Connecticut (2013–present)[77]
- Jon Ossoff, U.S. Senator from Georgia (2021–present)[79]
- Jacky Rosen, U.S. Senator from Nevada (2019–present)[77]
- Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–present) (Independent)[80]
- Brian Schatz, U.S. Senator from Hawaii (2012–present)[77]
- Debbie Stabenow, U.S. Senator from Michigan (2001–present)[77]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[81]
- State legislators
- Pete Ernaut, state assemblyman (1993–1997) and advisor for Governors, Kenny Guinn and Brian Sandoval (Republican)[82]
- Local officials
- Carl Erquiaga, former Churchill County commissioner (Republican)[83]
- Di An Putnam, Mayor of Winnemucca, Nevada (Republican)[84]
- Nathan Robertson, Mayor of Ely, Nevada (Republican)[85]
- Jason Soto, Chief of police Reno, Nevada (Republican)[86]
- Individuals
- Cher, singer and actress[87]
- Jimmy Kimmel, talk show host[88]
- John Legend, singer[89]
- Martin Sheen, actor[89]
- Oprah Winfrey, businesswoman and talk show host[90]
- Organizations
- AAPI Victory Fund[8]
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[9]
- EMILY's List[10]
- End Citizens United[11]
- Feminist Majority PAC[12]
- Human Rights Campaign[91]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[13]
- Jewish Dems[14]
- Latino Victory[15]
- League of Conservation Voters[16]
- Let America Vote[11]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[17]
- National Wildlife Federation[18]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[19]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[20]
- Population Connection Action Fund[21]
- Pro-Israel America[22]
- Sierra Club[23]
- Silver State Equality[92]
- Women's Political Committee[24]
- Newspapers
- Labor unions
- Culinary Workers Union[26]
- International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees local 720[27]
- National Education Association[93]
- Nevada AFL–CIO[28]
- Nevada Association of Public Safety Officers (NAPSO)[94]
- Nevada Law Enforcement Coalition (NLEC)[94]
- Operative Plasterers' and Cement Masons' International Association[29]
- United Auto Workers[30]
- United Mine Workers[95]
Adam Laxalt (R)
- U.S. Presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[46]
- Executive Branch officials
- Michael Flynn, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2017) and former Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency (2012–2014) (Democratic)[44]
- Richard Grenell, Special Presidential Envoy for Serbia and Kosovo Peace Negotiations (2019–2021), United States Ambassador to Germany (2018–2020) and Acting Director of National Intelligence (2020)[96]
- Nikki Haley, United States Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) and Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[97]
- Morgan Ortagus, Spokesperson for the United States Department of State (2019–2021)[98]
- Kash Patel, Chief of Staff to the United States Secretary of Defense (2020–2021)[99]
- Rick Perry, United States Secretary of Energy (2017–2019) and Governor of Texas (2000–2015)[100]
- Mike Pompeo, 70th U.S. Secretary of State (2018–2021)[45][101]
- Matt Schlapp, White House Director of Political Affairs (2003–2005)[102]
- Mercedes Schlapp, White House Director of Strategic Communications (2017–2019)[102]
- Matthew Whittaker, Acting United States Attorney General (2018–2019), Chief of Staff to the United States Attorney General (2017–2018) and United States Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa (2004–2009)[96]
- U.S. Senators
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present)[47]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present) and former U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 4th congressional district (2013–2015)[48]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present)[37]
- Josh Hawley, U.S. Senator from Missouri (2019–present) and former Missouri Attorney General (2017–2019)[103]
- Cindy Hyde-Smith, U.S. Senator from Mississippi (2018–present)[98]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator from Kentucky (1985–present) and Senate Minority Leader (2021–present)[50]
- Rick Scott, U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present) and former governor of Florida (2011–2019)[51]
- U.S. Representatives
- Mark Amodei, U.S. Representative for Nevada's 2nd congressional district (2011–present)[104]
- Tulsi Gabbard, former U.S. Representative for Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021) (Independent)[105]
- Governors
- Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present) and former U.S. Representative for Florida's 6th congressional district (2013–2018)[52]
- State officials
- Pam Bondi, Attorney General of Florida (2011–2019)[98]
- State legislators
- Bob Barengo, former speaker of the Nevada Assembly (1981–1982) and member of the Nevada Assembly from the 29th District (1972–1982) (Democratic)[106]
- John Ellison, member of the Nevada Assembly from the 33rd District (2011–present) and Speaker pro tempore of the Nevada Assembly (2014–2016)[107]
- Andy Matthews, member of the Nevada Assembly from the 37th District (2020–present)[98]
- Jim Wheeler, member of the Nevada Assembly from the 39th District (2013–present) and Minority Leader of the Nevada Assembly (2017–2019)[108]
- Local officials
- Victoria Seaman, member of Las Vegas City Council from the 2nd ward (2019–present) and member of the Nevada Assembly from the 34th district (2014–2016)[109]
- Party officials
- Thomas O. Hicks Jr., Co-Chair of the Republican National Committee (2019–present)[98]
- Ronna McDaniel, Chair of the Republican National Committee (2017–present)[110]
- Ralph Reed, Chair of the Georgia Republican Party (2001–2003)[111]
- Individuals
- Mark Levin, radio host[111]
- Chuck Norris, martial artist and actor[112]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of Donald Trump[113]
- Organizations
- 60 Plus Association[53]
- American Conservative Union[53]
- Campaign for Working Families[114]
- Club for Growth[54]
- FreedomWorks for America[55]
- Gun Owners of America[53]
- Heritage Action[115]
- Huck PAC[116]
- Log Cabin Republicans[117]
- National Federation of Independent Business[118]
- National Republican Senatorial Committee[119]
- National Right to Life Committee[120]
- Political Victory Fund[56][58][57]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[59]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[60]
- Tea Party Express[121]
- Labor unions
- Las Vegas Peace Officers Association[61]
- National Association of Police Organizations[62]
- National Border Patrol Council[122]
- Nevada Fraternal Order of Police[61]
- Public Safety Alliance of Nevada[61]
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Catherine Cortez Masto (D) | Adam Laxalt (R) | Undecided [f] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | October 24 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 45.4% | 48.8% | 5.8% | Laxalt +3.4 |
| FiveThirtyEight | October 5 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 45.9% | 47.3% | 6.8% | Laxalt +1.4 |
| 270towin | October 27 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 45.0% | 48.8% | 6.2% | Laxalt +3.8 |
| Average | 45.4% | 48.3% | 6.3% | Laxalt +2.9 | ||
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Catherine Cortez Masto (D) | Adam Laxalt (R) | None of These Candidates | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 5–7, 2022 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 50% | – | 2%[g] | 2% |
| Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 47% | – | 2%[h] | 5% |
| Data for Progress (D) | November 2–6, 2022 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 49% | 1% | 3%[i] | – |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[C] | November 4, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 50% | – | 2%[j] | 5% |
| KAConsulting (R)[D] | November 2–3, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | – | 1% | 9% |
| Cygnal (R)[C] | November 1–2, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 43% | 46% | – | 5%[k] | 6% |
| Emerson College | October 26–29, 2022 | 2,000 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 45% | 50% | 1% | 2%[l] | 3% |
| 46% | 51% | 1% | 3%[m] | – | ||||
| Suffolk University | October 24–28, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 3% | 4%[n] | 5% |
| OH Predictive Insights | October 24–27, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 41% | 1% | 5%[o] | 10% |
| Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[E] | October 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 43% | 48% | <1% | 4%[p] | 5% |
| Echelon Insights | October 24–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | – | 2%[q] | 8% |
| 46% | 48% | – | – | 6% | ||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 21–24, 2022 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 50% | – | 3%[r] | 2% |
| Siena Research/NYT | October 19–24, 2022 | 885 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 47% | – | 2%[s] | 4% |
| Phillips Academy | October 22–23, 2022 | 1,052 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | – | – | 4% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[C] | October 20, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 48% | – | 2%[t] | 4% |
| CBS News/YouGov | October 14–19, 2022 | 1,057 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 49% | – | 3%[u] | – |
| Data for Progress (D) | October 13–19, 2022 | 819 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 49% | – | 2%[v] | 1% |
| BSP Research/Shaw & Co.[F] | October 12–19, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 42% | – | 5%[w] | 10% |
| University of Nevada, Reno | October 5–19, 2022 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 39% | – | 3%[x] | 5% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[B] | October 16–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | – | 6%[y] | – |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 13–17, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 48% | – | 4%[z] | 5% |
| Suffolk University | October 4–7, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 44% | 3% | 3%[aa] | 5% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[B] | October 2–4, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 42% | – | 4%[ab] | 10% |
| CNN/SSRS | September 26 – October 2, 2022 | 926 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 44% | 2% | 3%[ac] | 1% |
| 828 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 48% | 2% | 3%[ad] | – | ||
| OH Predictive Insights | September 20–29, 2022 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 43% | 45% | 3% | 2%[ae] | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[C] | September 20, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 46% | – | 2%[af] | 9% |
| Big Data Poll (R) | September 18–20, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 46% | – | – | – |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 17–20, 2022 | 1,086 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 47% | – | 5%[ag] | 5% |
| Data for Progress (D) | September 14–19, 2022 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 47% | – | 6%[ah] | 2% |
| Emerson College | September 8–10, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 42% | – | 4% | 11% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | August 16–24, 2022 | 1,332 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 40% | 3% | 4%[ai] | 9% |
| 48% | 47% | – | – | 6% | ||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | August 15–18, 2022 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 47% | – | 4%[aj] | 6% |
| Suffolk University | August 14–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 38% | 3% | 3%[ak] | 12% |
| Beacon Research (D)[G] | July 5–20, 2022 | 479 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 39% | – | 1% | 7% |
| 301 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 51% | 45% | – | 1% | 2% | ||
| Emerson College | July 7–10, 2022 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 44% | 41% | – | 6% | 9% |
| Change Research (D)[H] | June 24–27, 2022 | 701 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | – | – | 12% |
| University of Nevada, Reno | May 17–27, 2022 | 1,098 (A) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 27% | – | 11% | 14% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[I] | April 18–20, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | – | – | 7% |
| OH Predictive Insights | April 1–9, 2022 | 748 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 35% | – | – | 22% |
| Suffolk University | April 2–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 43% | 3% | – | 14% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | March 21–24, 2022 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 47% | – | – | 13% |
| Change Research (D)[H] | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 44% | 46% | – | – | 10% |
| OH Predictive Insights | January 19–26, 2022 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 35% | – | – | 21% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 24–29, 2021 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 44% | – | – | 15% |
| NRSC (R)[J] | November 14–17, 2021 | 571 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 46% | – | – | 12% |
| The Mellman Group (D) | September 15–22, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 41% | 3% | – | 10% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[A] | September 11–15, 2021 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 39% | 12% | – | 12% |
| VCreek/AMG (R)[K] | August 9–14, 2021 | 567 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 32% | 42% | – | – | 26% |
Hypothetical polling
- Catherine Cortez Masto vs. Sam Brown
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Catherine Cortez Masto (D) | Sam Brown (R) | None of These Candidates | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Nevada, Reno | May 17–27, 2022 | 1,098 (A) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 24% | – | 13% | 16% |
| OH Predictive Insights Archived April 18, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | April 1–9, 2022 | 748 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 34% | – | – | 24% |
| Suffolk University | April 2–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 40% | 5% | – | 17% |
Results
Swing by county
Legend
- Democratic — +5-7.5%
- Democratic — +2.5-5%
- Democratic — +0-2.5%
- Republican — +0-2.5%
- Republican — +2.5-5%
- Republican — +5-7.5%
- Republican — +7.5-10%
Cortez Masto won urban Clark County and Washoe County, home to Las Vegas and Reno respectively. Combined, these two counties contain more than 80% of the state's total population. While her margin in Clark County fell from 11% in 2016 to 8% in this election, she flipped Washoe County, which she lost by less than 1% in 2016, with a 4% margin of victory. Laxalt won by landslide margins in Nevada's rural counties, but they are lightly populated and cast less than 16% of the total vote. In the end, Cortez Masto's victories in the state's two largest counties gave her too large a lead for Laxalt to overcome in rural Nevada. As of 2023, no Republican has won any U.S. Senate race in Nevada since 2012.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Catherine Cortez Masto (incumbent) | 498,316 | 48.81% | +1.71% | |
| Republican | Adam Laxalt | 490,388 | 48.04% | +3.37% | |
| None of These Candidates | 12,441 | 1.22% | -2.59% | ||
| Independent | Barry Lindemann | 8,075 | 0.79% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Neil Scott | 6,422 | 0.63% | N/A | |
| Independent American | Barry Rubinson | 5,208 | 0.51% | -1.04% | |
| Total votes | 1,020,850 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
By county | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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By congressional district
Cortez Masto won 3 of 4 congressional districts.[124]
| District | Cortez Masto | Laxalt | Others | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 52% | 44.8% | 3.2% | Dina Titus |
| 2nd | 42.7% | 53.9% | 3.4% | Mark Amodei |
| 3rd | 51.7% | 45.7% | 2.6% | Susie Lee |
| 4th | 50.8% | 45.7% | 3.5% | Steven Horsford |
See also
Notes
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Conrad, Perkins, and Rodriguez with 1%
- ^ Conrad and Rodriguez with 1%; Perkins and Poliak with 0%
- ^ Conrad, Perkins, Pollak, and Rodriguez with 1%
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ Scott (L) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Some other candidate/None of them" with 2%
- ^ Scott (L) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Third-party candidate" with 5%
- ^ Lindemann (I) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with <1%
- ^ Lindemann (I) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with 1%
- ^ Scott (L) with 2%; Lindemann (I) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with 1%
- ^ Lindemann (I) with 2%; Rubinson (IA) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ Rubinson (IA) with 2%; Scott (L) with 1%; "Refuse" with 1%
- ^ Lindemann (I) with 1%; Scott (I) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with <1%
- ^ Scott (L) with 3%
- ^ Rubinson (IA) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%; Lindemann (I) with <1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Scott (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 5%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
- ^ Scott (L) with 4%; Rubinson (IA) with 2%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%
- ^ Lindemann (I) with 1%; Rubinson (IA) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%
- ^ Rubinson (IA) and Scott (L) with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 3%
- ^ "Other" with 3%
- ^ Robinson (IA) with 1%; Scott (L) with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ Scott (L) with 2%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Scott (L) with 4%; "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ Rubinson with 2%; Lindemann and Scott with 1%
- ^ Scott with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Scott with 2%; Rubinson with 1%; Lindemann with 0%
- Partisan clients
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by Laxalt's campaign
- ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Club for Growth Action, which supports Laxalt
- ^ a b c d Poll conducted for American Greatness, a conservative news and opinions site.
- ^ Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
- ^ Poll conducted for BUSR, an online gambling website.
- ^ Poll conducted for Univision.
- ^ This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Future Majority and America's Future Majority Fund
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Battle Born Values PAC
- ^ This poll was sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee
- ^ Poll sponsored by Americas PAC
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- ^ Ranson, Steve (August 24, 2022). "Amodei discusses topics ranging from Congress to state elections". Nevada Appeal. Retrieved October 28, 2022.
- ^ Sheridan, Kevin (October 26, 2022). "Bernie Sanders to visit Reno to rally for Dems; Laxalt to host Gabbard in Vegas". KOLO TV.
- ^ "Republicans endorsing Cortez Masto, Laxalt campaign announces Democrat support". KSNV. August 4, 2022. Retrieved September 3, 2022.
- ^ Ellison, John (September 30, 2022). "Commentary: Laxalt stands for veterans". The Nevada Globe. Retrieved October 28, 2022.
- ^ Barth, Megan (October 6, 2021). "Exclusive: Assemblyman Jim Wheeler speaks to the Nevada Globe". The Nevada Globe. Retrieved October 28, 2022.
- ^ Hill, Jessica (September 28, 2022). "Former U.S. Ambassador Nikki Haley stumps for Adam Laxalt". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved October 15, 2022.
- ^ McDaniel, Ronna (October 7, 2022). "[OPINION] Filipino Americans Strengthen Our Country. Democrats Don't". Asian Journal. Retrieved October 28, 2022.
- ^ a b Israel, Josh (June 17, 2022). "Laxalt bus tour stops in Minden, Carson City". American Independent. Retrieved October 28, 2022.
- ^ Landen, Xander (November 4, 2022). "Chuck Norris jumps into U.S. midterms, backing key Senate candidate". Newsweek. Retrieved November 5, 2022.
- ^ DeHaven, James (June 10, 2022). "Trump Jr. stumps for Laxalt days before competitive GOP primary race to face Cortez Masto". Reno Gazette Journal. Retrieved October 9, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". Campaign for Working Families. Retrieved August 3, 2022.
- ^ Wegmann, Philip (June 16, 2022). "Heritage Action Super PAC Endorses Laxalt, Pledges $1M for Nevada Races". The Fairfield Sun Times. Retrieved October 9, 2022.
- ^ "Nevada". HUCK PAC.
- ^ "Log Cabin Republicans Announces First Round of Endorsements". Log Cabin Republicans. Retrieved October 9, 2022.
- ^ Avery, Taylor R. (October 5, 2022). "National small business group endorses Laxalt". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved October 9, 2022.
- ^ "Momentum: Nevada Republicans Trounce Democrats in Primary Turnout". NRSC. June 15, 2022. Retrieved October 9, 2022.
- ^ "National Right to Life Endorses Adam Laxalt in Nevada Senate Race". National Right to Life. Retrieved October 9, 2022.
- ^ "ELECTION ALERT: Tea Party Express Endorses Adam Laxalt for Senate in Nevada". Tea Party Express (Press release).
- ^ Sebelius, Steve (October 6, 2022). "Cortez Masto, Laxalt battle for police vote". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved October 9, 2022.
- ^ "Silver State 2022 - General Election Results - U.S. Senate". Nevada Secretary of State.
- ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
External links
- Official campaign websites
